Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.049343 0.057596 0.066663 0.077344 0.089564 0.103087 0.119164
2025-03-09 0.037339 0.048247 0.061345 0.078152 0.099059 0.124114 0.156310
2025-03-16 0.027949 0.039596 0.054744 0.075706 0.103750 0.139734 0.189116
2025-03-23 0.023435 0.035995 0.053504 0.079357 0.116146 0.166123 0.238543
2025-03-30 0.019226 0.031835 0.050574 0.079927 0.124082 0.187195 0.283141
2025-04-06 0.015483 0.027530 0.046547 0.078020 0.127849 0.202453 0.320893
2025-04-13 0.012719 0.024179 0.043311 0.076620 0.131872 0.218134 0.360507
2025-04-20 0.011437 0.023054 0.043419 0.080461 0.144411 0.247867 0.424308
2025-04-27 0.010222 0.021796 0.043049 0.083337 0.155537 0.276267 0.488497
2025-05-04 0.008555 0.019339 0.040116 0.081207 0.157701 0.289957 0.529633
2025-05-11 0.007350 0.017557 0.038132 0.080461 0.162083 0.307603 0.578749
2025-05-18 0.006194 0.015643 0.035566 0.078192 0.163281 0.319612 0.618890
2025-05-25 0.005247 0.014020 0.033382 0.076462 0.165475 0.333941 0.665147
2025-06-01 0.004649 0.013088 0.032509 0.077298 0.172777 0.358380 0.732092
2025-06-08 0.003911 0.011650 0.030274 0.074894 0.173205 0.369763 0.775529
2025-06-15 0.003658 0.011406 0.030746 0.078520 0.186599 0.407571 0.872847
2025-06-22 0.003257 0.010676 0.029932 0.079090 0.193468 0.432930 0.947774
2025-06-29 0.002789 0.009643 0.028188 0.077204 0.194672 0.446772 1.000692
2025-07-06 0.002412 0.008785 0.026742 0.075818 0.196806 0.462668 1.059003
2025-07-13 0.002291 0.008697 0.027334 0.079624 0.211422 0.506411 1.178751
2025-07-20 0.002142 0.008484 0.027545 0.082473 0.224046 0.546827 1.294401
2025-07-27 0.001845 0.007692 0.025971 0.080363 0.224350 0.559940 1.352112
2025-08-03 0.001628 0.007125 0.024957 0.079625 0.227965 0.580783 1.428305